Based on our automotive scenarios, traditional dealerships will face existential challenges by 2030. With EVs requiring 60% less maintenance and direct-to-consumer sales capturing 40% of the market, your dealership network will need to transform into experience centers focused on test drives, customization, and lifestyle services. The most successful dealers in our scenarios pivoted to become mobility hubs offering subscription services, charging infrastructure, and vehicle-to-grid energy management.

By 2030, Level 4 autonomous vehicles will operate in 50+ cities globally, fundamentally disrupting traditional ownership models. Our scenarios show that successful OEMs transition from selling vehicles to selling miles, with robotaxi fleets generating 3x higher lifetime value than individual sales. Key strategic moves include: partnering with cities for autonomous zones, developing proprietary fleet management software, and creating seamless user experiences that blur the line between private and shared mobility.